World Conference on Horticultural Research - 17-20 June 1998 in Rome, Italy
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Research Needs and Expectations in the Grape and Grape Products Sector

Kirby

Kirby Moulton
Department of Agricultural
and Resource Economics
University of California
Berkeley, California 94720
John Possingham
Chair, ISHS Viticulture Section
Possums Vineyards
GPO Box 273
Adelaide, Australia 5061

March 26, 1998


Abstract

Grapes and grape products account for 13% of global fruit and nut output and one-quarter of its exports. The sector has experienced a sharp drop in planted area and significant shifts in consumer preferences. The major forces affecting results have been the globalization of production and marketing, the swift progress made in pest and disease control, the strong pressures for reduced chemical use and more environmentally friendly practices, and the increased importance of ìnon-traditionalî producers. Research is needed to help the sector adjust to these forces. Research needs in viticulture center on clonal selection, genetics and breeding, ecology, physiology, cultural practices (including pruning) and mechanization. The needs in enology center on the impact of viticultural practices on wine quality, the reduction of ethyl carbamate levels in wine, wine making processes such as the extraction of color and flavor in red wine making, and the genetic engineering of yeasts. The priority research objectives in economics arring of yeasts. The priority research objectives in economics are to improve the coverage and quality of information systems, to identify and evaluate emerging market opportunities, to evaluate alternative production strategies including new systems of pest control, to assess changes in consumer behavior, and to evaluate alternative competitive strategies and public policies affecting the sector.



1. Introduction

Grapes are one of the worldís most important horticultural products and consequently are of major interest commercially, politically and socially. When they are affected by shifting consumer preferences, new social concerns, changed government regulations, or technological innovation, large numbers of people, communities, and businesses are also affected. Those affected have a large stake in adapting to or managing change. This calls for researchóon a large scale and on a global basis. The purpose of this report is to describe the changes affecting grapes and grape products and to outline the research that is needed to maintain the economic and social viability of this important horticultural sector. The report is presented as a case study that may be applicable to other horticultural sectors.



2. The Current Situation of the Grape Sector

Grapes accounted for 13% of global fruit, melon and nut output in the 1995ñ97 period. Grape and grape product ext in the 1995ñ97 period. Grape and grape product exports accounted for almost one-quarter of all horticultural exports and about one fifth of global grape production, making grape growing sensitive to world conditions.

Vineyard area in 1996 was approximately 7.6 million hectares, one quarter below the level of 1976/80. The decline was stimulated mostly by a steep drop in wine consumption. Production did not fall in proportion to the decline in planted area because cultural improvements and changed varietal patterns increased vineyard productivity. In aggregate terms, grape production per hectare expanded from 6.1 tons to 7.7 tons, a gain of over one quarter in productivity.

The primary uses for grapes are fresh market, dried and crush products. Wine, brandy, concentrate and juice require approximately 36 million tons of grapes, or about 65% of recent average productions levels. Fresh markets used about 17 million tons and raisin markets about 4,500 tons, fresh basis, annually during 1991ñ95. The proportion of production allocated to fresh market increased as demand grew and wine markets dropped. Export demand expanded making fresh markets far more dependent on trade and sensitive to global trends. Raisin production, on the other hand, remained relatively stable, although it lagged behind world population growth. The raisin industry has always been more dependent on trade than have fresh market grapes or wine. Win trade than have fresh market grapes or wine. Wine production dropped 24% between 1981ñ85 and 1993ñ95, but still did not eliminate the structural surplus of table wines that has plagued the wine sector for years. The great anomaly of the wine sector is that quality wine consumption has been growing rapidly, but not fast enough to offset the volume declines in ordinary wines.



3. The Major Forces Affecting the Viticultural and Wine Sector

The global increase in the production and consumption of grapes for the fresh market and for quality wines has motivated large increases in vineyard conversions and plantings. However, the changes in planted areas and the conversion of vineyards are not sufficiently documented to allow an estimation of future supply. Part of the problem arises because plantings are not reported according to quality of grape, partly because definitions used in different countries are believed not to be compatible, and partly because the changes are not being captured in existing information systems. Inadequate information for private and public decisions adds costs to the system and should motivate the development of alternative information systems.

Increased trade and the rapid dissemination of information have created a new competitive environment which demands changed ìrules for the game.î This includes, for example, finding common productionc; This includes, for example, finding common production or distribution systems, or common methods for analysis. Concurrently, the lowering of tariffs and the reduction of quotas under the World Trade Organization has shifted trade barriers more in the direction of sanitary and phyto-sanitary regulations. These barriers can be challenged on the basis of scientific evidence, however the process is cumbersome. As the flow of trade has increased, control agencies have had more need to identify the components of wine and other products that are presented for sale. Do they contain the required level of the variety claimed? Are there proscribed additives in wine? Was the wine produced where it is claimed? Answering some of these questions may become easier if new measuring techniques prove effective. Research has been focusing on the need for effective analytical techniques, for example, the DNA ìfingerprintingî of wine varieties.

Environmental considerations are increasingly important in dictating practices in the horticultural sector. This has coincided with the need to reduce chemical use and, fortuitously, with the remarkable progress noted in new approaches to pest and disease control. These approaches, based on genetic processes and improved pest management systems, have provided different ways to cope with diseases. Within the horticultural sector, viticulture is particularly sensitive to such pressures since it is the largesive to such pressures since it is the largest user of chemicals outside of the cereal sector. Environmental concerns have led to both public and private initiatives to adopt more friendly cultural, production and distribution practices. This implies the need for new production systems, packaging types, and handling methods.

A number of diseases seriously affect grape production. A few of these, for example viruses of the fan leaf complex, the mildews, eutypa, bunch rots and phylloxera are of global concern while others such as ESCA, Pierceís disease, and phyto plasmas are of more regional concern. These diseases lower vine production and increase costs and can lead to severe losses to growers. Some of them also adversely affect grape quality. The control of these diseases is necessary to maintain the required quality of grapes and grape products, for the economic health of the affected producers and to limit the opportunity for the diseases to spread to other areas.

Increased global competition between high and low cost producers has accelerated the need to find competitive responses. High cost producers have co-existed alongside low cost producers for a long time mostly because they produce different quality products and offer different packages of services. However, this gap is narrowing as formerly inefficient and low quality producers use new (to them) technologies to improve their production and handlinchnologies to improve their production and handling practices. Thus producers will need to find new products, markets, or practices in order to differentiate themselves from other producers.

People are living longer in most countries of the world. This has resulted from improved diets and increased attention to health. This trend has had important impacts in the grape and wine sector. Grapes are viewed as ìhealthyî food, and wine is increasingly identified with improved health. There is an opportunity for grape-based industries to exploit this link in marketing programs based on credible scientific evidence.

There has been an acceleration in the speed of technology transfer in viticulture and enology between both continents and countries in recent years due mostly to investors moving know-how from developed but high cost countries to areas where the climate and water supply is good for grapes, the political situation is stable and the labor is cheap. Examples of this are the now massive table grape and wine industry in Chile and South Africa, the increasing quality wine production of Argentina, the French-based wine industry in Uruguay and the table grape industry of northern Brazil that will soon go international. If the private domination of technology transfer is to be lessened then the public sector will need to improve in identifying, coordinating and funding research needs. However, such efforts are ofteresearch needs. However, such efforts are often limited in effectiveness by the lack of adequate funds, competition between national interests, and concerns about who gains and who loses.



4. Research Needs in Viticulture, Enology and Grape Processing

The research needs identified in the following sections have been compiled from reviews of OIV (Office international de la vigne et du vin) and Vine Link activities, from reviews of selected literature, and from discussions with other experts. The suggestions are organized according to the major problem areas discussed above. It is stating the obvious to suggest that research needs in viticulture, enology and grape processing vary considerably between continents and between countries. However the research requirements of lesser developed countries may often be met by technology transfer from other countries.

The obvious inadequacy of data for informed public and private decisions calls for extensive research on improved global information systems, particularly relating to specific quality segments of production. Some specific needs include: a periodic inventory of grape plantings classified by varieties; expanded ampelographic description of vine varieties; studies of ìzonageî for the purpose of defining areas according to the quality of grapes produced; and the development of improved crop forecasting methods needed to increasof improved crop forecasting methods needed to increase the quality of marketing decisions.

The increased importance of trade leads to a number of significant research needs relating to international codes of practice. The extent to which they can be agreed upon will influence the ease with which trade is conducted. Research is needed to focus on a revision of the OIV International Code of Enological Practices by considering important wine making processes such as reverse osmosis membranes for the self-enrichment of musts; electrodialysis membranes and cation exchange resins for the tartaric stabilization of wines; microbiologic analysis of wines and musts; chemical acidification of musts; use of exogenous tannins derived from both oak and chestnut, sugar addition to musts using grape juice concentrate or saccharose; treatment with pectolytic enzymes; levels of residues; and interpretation of analytical results. Other research concerns are to establish a data bank on the constituents of wines and musts; to develop a guide of best practices in the transportation of bulk wine; to analyze the effects of ethyl carbamate and the use of urease; and to determine the appropriate limits of pesticide residue.

Significant added research is needed to develop effective genetic solutions to the control of fungal diseases. These diseases have become of particular concern since fewer chemical controls are available and conventional breedin controls are available and conventional breeding methods for developing resistance do not maintain varietal integrity. Genetic processes of developing disease resistance, unlike traditional cross-breeding, do this without changing the variety of the grape or its flavor. These considerations are important where marketing is based on the variety of the grape, for example Chardonnay for wine, or where only authorized varieties can be used. Genetic engineering makes it possible to incorporate into existing grape varieties resistance to diseases such as powdery mildew (Uncinula necator), downy mildew (Plasmopara viticola), eutypa/dying arm (Eutypa lata), and a range of damaging virus diseases. Vine Link has fostered cooperative research aimed at non-chemical alternatives for combating diseases causing degeneration of vine wood and subsequent mortality.

There is considerable conservatism in all the grape industries especially in the wine industry which on a world basis favors relatively few flavorful varieties. Clonal selection has been, and continues to be, a remarkably simple and effective method for improving both the productivity of existing grape varieties and the quality of their grapes. Clonal selection involves using the cuttings from superior vines to generate new vineyards. Superior vines can be high yielding and/or capable of providing grapes which make better wine, raisins or table grapes. This method er wine, raisins or table grapes. This method of improvement is based on selecting vines that have low natural levels of graft-transmissible diseases such as viruses or using techniques to eliminate these diseases. Some clones are thought to have small genetic mutations which are almost impossible to detect with existing DNA technologies which give rise to their better performance.

Bio-sciences now offer the means to diversify the varietal base of grape industries without encountering the problems of past breeding efforts. Conventional plant breeding was used as the way to develop disease resistant grapevines, but consistently resulted in unwanted flavor changes. Similar varietal conservatism exists in raisin grapes where Thompson Seedless, Zante Currant and muscats dominate production. Although many new table grapes have been obtained by conventional breeding, again the Thompson Seedless is by far the leading variety. In the grape juice industry production is dominated by Concord and Isabella which are both Vitis labrusca based varieties. Genetic engineering in which resistance genes are expressed in existing varieties is likely to attract massive funding in many countries over the next few years as encouraging results begin to flow. This could lead to rapid progress. However commercial prospects from patenting and exploiting existing varieties into which disease resistance has been incorporated will prevent serious in has been incorporated will prevent serious international cooperation.

Competition between high and low cost producers and between traditional and new producers is generating needs for research on new product development, product differentiation and marketing strategies. Research on the chemistry and molecular biology of grape composition is particularly important in this area because it improves the understanding of what makes grapes tick and what genes are important. The results can help in ìfingerprintingî grape varieties and developing new varieties that better match changes in consumer preferences. They can also improve the protection of the authenticity and diversity of grape products. Genetic engineering involving gene transfers and the use of anti-sense systems to slow down or inhibit the expression of specific genes will support competitive strategies by improving fruit quality. For example, there are now available specific genes to inhibit seed formation at different stages of berry development so that the combination of large berry size and seedlessness will be available, a very attractive feature in the fresh grape market. Anti-sense genes are also available to prevent the browning reactions of grape berries. Once incorporated and expressed in grape vines they will inhibit the enzyme, polyphenoloxidase, and give truly "golden sultanas," a premium dried product. These genes in white wine grapesed product. These genes in white wine grapes should greatly reduce the requirement for added SO2 to prevent the browning of wines. These efforts will help establish the scientific base by which greater consumption of grape products can be promoted. Along this line, there is the need to identify additional economic uses for raisins in baking, confectionery, and other industries.

Researchers have always given priority to the development of more efficient cultural methods for horticultural crops. A key area of needed research is in pruning and vine training methods appropriate to achieving quality and productivity goals. These changes need to be linked to wine quality. The American Vineyard Foundation reports that the most important issue in enology (in California, at least) is the impact of viticultural practices on wine quality. The mechanization of viticulture and enology continues at a rapid rate with all sorts of devices coming forward each year to improve vineyard operations and the massive bulk handling that occurs in wineries. There are important needs to develop improved drying methods to increase the ratio of high quality to low quality raisins and to investigate the use of Gamma radiation to protect grapes in transit. Such innovations tend to come from private enterprise and not from formal academic research. The genetic engineering of yeast is currently an active research area in enology and aims to developresearch area in enology and aims to develop yeasts that rapidly ferment grape sugar into a melange of desirable flavor products without producing H2S and volatile acidity. There are attempts to incorporate into yeasts some of the malo-lactic activities of lactobacilli. All of these efforts are designed to improve product quality, lower costs, or better adopt products to consumer preferences. Research on the economic impact on profits of alternative cultural practices or wine making processes is needed as part of an effort to maintain competitive performance in the sector. The research should assess the impacts of new processes on costs and the ability of sellers to recoup those costs through market prices.

Environmental concerns have resulted in a large inventory of research needs. Important among these is the better understanding of the impact of the environment on grape and wine characteristics. This is based on the concept of ìterroirî which often is inaccurately applied to just the influence of soil on fruit characteristics. This research seeks to determine how the full range of environmental factors affect the biological processes of grapes grown in a particular site. The factors considered include soil, water quality, climate, light, moisture conditions and others. This will help, for example, in learning how to maintain the stability of vine characteristics in response to environmental chaacteristics in response to environmental changes or to map the phenology of table grape vines at different levels of environmental thermic availability. Other research is needed to find ìsafeî pest control methods including the wider use of low temperatures and modified atmospheres that will reduce or eliminate chemical residues on raisins and table grapes, or in wine. Of particular importance is finding ways to control viruses of the fan leaf complex and to eliminate the use of methyl bromide for reducing the number of Xiphenema-nematodes in vineyard soils and for fumigating fresh fruit. Considerable attention has been given to integrated pest management, and this must be seen as a major area of viticultural/entomological research. However, there is also a need to develop effective institutional arrangements to foster the use of integrated pest control systems. The OIV has actively encouraged research to identify environmentally friendly cultural and processing practices. Research is also needed to improve the management of vineyard and winery wastes and emissions through the identification of alternative practices. In many grape growing countries water is a limiting factor and research aimed to use the minimum amount water to give optimum grape quality is a requirement. The same is true for nutrients such as nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium where there is a need to reduce pollution of drainage water with leached pollution of drainage water with leached nutrients from vineyards.

The expansion of trade in grapes and grape products and the development of new or modified products makes control or monitoring activities more difficult for both commercial and public organizations. However the development of new measurement techniques has begun to ameliorate the problem. This area of research focuses on, for example, varietal identification using bio-chemical and molecular methods. Highly sophisticated chemistry is being used to fingerprint wines, and to establish whether cane sugar has been used; this research indicates that many of the flavor compounds of grapes are present in unripe grapes in a bound form. Techniques are being developed to release these bound flavor compounds

Research seeking to address public health concerns is important both to the public and private sectors. A minor example is the need to perfect dosage requirements for SO2 to both avoid allergies and overcome quarantine problems. Research directed toward the genetic modification of yeasts, the metabolism of alcohol, antioxidants and the antiradical action of antioxidant components of grapes and wine will help the public, and the medical profession, to better understand the relationships between grapes and health.



5. Areas for Market-Oriented Research

Research is needed to develop techniques for either of Research is needed to develop techniques for either offsetting or gaining the scale economies earned by larger producers. These economies are an important competitive factor in wine, table grape and raisin trading. They exist at the production and processing levels, as commonly recognized, but also in shipping, promotion, distribution, and quarantine inspection. The research focus needs to be on alternative cooperative arrangements, technological innovations or product development and promotion that will allow smaller firms or groups of firms to gain some economies to scale or to avoid the impacts of more ìefficientî competitors. Part of this effort should be directed toward product differentiation and market segmentation strategies that might allow smaller and larger producers to co-exist in a competitive environment. A common problem is ignorance among consumers and the trade of differences in table grapes, raisins and wine. This ignorance can be offset only if it is properly identified through research so that effective counter measures can be adopted. Another task is to evaluate competition from other fruits. Such competition requires thorough evaluation to determine the extent of its impacts on grape and raisin prices and volumes. With such research-based knowledge, the trade can then develop alternative marketing strategies to better cope with the competitive situation.

Trade in grape products is subject to varying coade in grape products is subject to varying constraints in different regions and countries. Market and policy research is needed to reduce or eliminate them. High tariffs or restrictive barriers are often designed to protect local producers, or to preserve the margins of wholesalers, and are still the most important constraint when it comes to export expansion. However, such barriers often have other costs not evident to policy makers. Continued research is needed to evaluate the economic, social and political impacts of tariffs and other trade barriers. Such research may be discouraged at times because it calls into question political decisions already enacted. Nevertheless, objective evaluation of policy alternatives is as necessary to the sectorís well being as is research on vineyard productivity.

In the fresh market there is a need to identify periods during the marketing year when traditional suppliers are out of production or otherwise unable to fill market requirements. The most promising of these windows for table grapes is during the winter and early spring (April) with another window in November in large northern hemisphere markets, particularly in Europe. Further careful study of European consumer preferences, institutional constraints, and competitive factors is needed to evaluate the likelihood that such a change in consumption can be induced. If a study validates this, then southern hemisphere producers fac this, then southern hemisphere producers face a significant marketing challenge. The potential cannot be realized without a careful analysis of consumer preferences and a marketing program carefully targeted to match those preferences. The prospect of a three-fold increase in imports from the southern hemisphere clearly warrants a serious examination of this situation.



6. Summary

There is considerable overlap of research needs in viticulture, enology, health, and economics. However, a simple classification helps in summarizing the needs that are discussed in this report. The research needs in viticulture center on clonal selection, genetics and breeding, ecology, physiology, cultural practices (including pruning) and mechanization. Perhaps the most critical of these needs is to overcome viruses of the fan leaf complex, which are transmitted by the nematode Xiphenema-index whose numbers in soil have been reduced, up to now, by methyl bromide. The needs in enology can be broadly classed into the areas of chemistry, microbiology and the enology/viticulture interactions. Specific needs include the impact of viticultural practices on wine quality, the reduction of ethyl carbamate levels in wine, wine making processes such as the extraction of color and flavor in red wine making, the genetic engineering of yeasts, the measurement and evaluation of wine components, the management of winery wasten of wine components, the management of winery waste and emissions, the anti-oxidant properties of wine, and health-related research such as the metabolism of alcohol. This research leads to subsequent changes in the International Code of Enological Practices. The greatest issue in the economic sphere is how to maintain the economic viability of the sector while meeting consumer and social needs. The priority research objectives are to improve the coverage and quality of information systems, to identify and evaluate emerging market opportunities, to evaluate alternative production strategies including new systems of pest control, to assess changes in consumer behavior, to evaluate alternative competitive strategies and public policies affecting the sector.



References

This report is based on the opinions and observations of the authors, influenced by the following references.

"American Vineyard Foundation." Wines and Vines 79(2): 18-24, 1998.

Caputi, Arthur, Jr. ìAn Overview of Environmental Requirements for California Wineries.î Presented to the OIV Experts Meeting, Paris, April 1995.

Fregoni, Mario. Professor, University of the Sacred Heart, Piacenza, Italy. Personal Communication, February 1998.

Gahagan, Richard. U.S. Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms, Personal Communication, March, 1998.

International Office of Vines and Win March, 1998.

International Office of Vines and Wine (OIV). ìAvant Projets de Resolutions, Etape 3.î Paris, November 1997.

_____. Summaries of the Three Commissions and Biotechnology. 76th General Assembly of the OIV, Capetown, South Africa, November 1996.

_____. Resolutions de la 75ème Assemblee Generale. Punta del Este, Uruguay, December 1995.

Ivie, Robert. American Brandy Association, California. Personal Communication, February 1998..

Lien de la Vigne (Vine Link International). ìLa Filiere Vin et ses Defis: Les Reponses Techniques de Lien de la Vigne.î Presentation to the Senate of France, Paris, January 1998.

_____. Operations Report. Paris, 1997.

Meredith, Carole. Department of Viticulture and Enology, University of California, Davis. Personal Communication, January 1998.


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